How Roe became the biggest causality of the 2016 presidential election?

 2016 was the true death of Roe, not Dobbs!

To those of you who say "my vote doesn't matter", you should know that the votes cast by the American people in the 2016 presidential election determined the fate of a near-50yo constitutional right enjoyed by an entire gender of Americans, the right to reproductive healthcare that women needed.  

The Dobbs decision didn't kill Roe, it was the 2016 election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States that killed Roe. 45, a disgraced presidential number. November 8, 2016, was the death date not written on Roe's death certificate. Instead, it was June 24, 2022. 

If Donald Trump had not been elected in 2016, the justices on the Supreme Court that Trump picked and were crucial for the fall of Roe, would not be there. Roe's lifespan would be longer or eternal and the Republicans would be better off talking tough on abortion and get away with it when abortion rights were law of the Land. 

Ironically the Republican Party has become a casualty of their own 2016 victory as well. Since 2016, the Republican Party has become a tanked down name, and the fall of Roe worsened it badly. 

In 2016, there was a split in the Supreme Court, 4 liberals and 4 conservatives, and that split was due to the death of a conservative justice, Antonin Scalia, in February 2016. Before Scalia died, there was a bare conservative majority in the Supreme Court, it was 5-4 in the right's favor, but there was a problem for social conservatives, Justice Anthony Kennedy was a conservative who reached across the aisle and occasionally voted with his four liberal colleagues, Kennedy was very crucial in the nationwide legalization of same-sex marriage on June 26, 2015, and it was Kennedy who saved Roe on June 27, 2016, in Whole Women's Health v. Hellerstedt. Had Roe been struck down that day, Donald Trump may would have not win the presidential election, we would've had a President Hillary Clinton as the nation's first woman President at a time when women's rights were under assault in a scenario where Hellerstedt was successful at bringing Roe to its knees. 

In real time, Roe survived and Trump was elected. During his presidency, not only Trump restored a narrow conservative Supreme Court majority by replacing the deceased Scalia with Gorsuch and maintained that majority with Brett Kavanaugh when Kennedy retired, he expanded it when liberal justice and icon Ruth Bader Ginsburg passed away during the high-stakes 2020 presidential election, increasing that conservative majority from 5-4 to 6-3. It was that moment that allowed social conservatives to make their move on truly bringing reproductive rights to its knees. 

Even though Trump did not win a second term in 2020, behind the scenes of a Biden presidency and unified Democratic Party control of Washington for the first time in ten years since the Tea Party revolution in the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans and conservatives from 2021 to early 2022 brought a case to the Supreme Court to end Roe, the Supreme Court took the case, heard oral arguments in December 2021, and on June 24, 2022, the unthinkable has happened. 

Roe is overturned and it is the government, not women, who makes decisions on a woman's body. Something men don't have to worry about despite their fears of losing their guns despite the second amendment. 

When Roe was overturned, the Republican Party automatically lost control of the abortion issue. Now they the Republicans have a Roe v. Wade on their hands and it is the Democratic Party who are now on the offensive on abortion, dramatically shifting the tide of the culture wars in the Democrats' favor on not only abortion, but birth control, LGBT rights, and personal freedom. It started with the 2022 midterm elections, where literally everybody thought that because there is a Democratic President and that president's party saw its midterm position worsened by inflation, economic woes, an unstable border between the US and Mexico, and crime waves, that Republicans would blow the midterms in a landslide. 

But instead, the 2022 midterm elections went kablooey for the Republican Party, the Democrats outperformed expectations and history, the only silver lining for Republicans is that they did manage to win the House from Democratic control and the Republicans are not even doing that well, that new majority in the House is unexpectedly narrow, 222-213, just only five seats away from the magic number, making things tricky for Republicans as they will attempt to weaponize their new majority against President Biden while Democrats use their strengthened Senate majority as a defensive fort. 

In the midterm elections, there were referendums on abortion rights in some states, and abortion rights were so victorious in all of these states that they helped Democratic governors or trifectas get elected in the process. Even in deeply Republican states, abortion rights were victorious in abortion referendums, and that sent Democrats a clear message, that even in red states, you can proudly and publicly come out and say "I'm pro-choice!" 

For 50 years, Republicans took pleasure in weaponizing abortion against Democrats, calling them "baby killers" to provoke an angry reaction from the Republican and evangelical base, but now after Roe's fall in 2022, the Democrats are now the ones weaponizing abortion against Republicans, accusing Republicans of being apathetic to rape victims who don't want to be the mother of a rapist's child, and not caring at all about the wellbeing of women when it came to their bodies, their health, and their safety especially when it came to pregnancy, something that gives life but it can also take away a life because pregnancy is not always safe and it always comes with risks to not just the mother but also the child inside. Abortion exists because rape, poverty, and incest exist. If there is something President Ronald Reagan is right about, government is not the solution to problems, the government itself can be a problem, and governments who don't really understand pregnancy are always the problem to any society.