Blogger's Opinion: Did Democrats Won?

 Did the Democrats win?

    Chawoblog meme of President Biden

Did the Democratic Party win the midterm elections? Well, Democrats lost its national trifecta, losing control of the U.S. House of Representatives, and Republicans still hold a monopoly in state governments since the red wave of 2010. But is that a victory for Republicans? 

Not exactly! Democrats had a soft landing in the House of Representatives, they retained control of the U.S. Senate and gained ground in state governments with Republicans not gaining a single state trifecta. Democrats lost lenient U.S. house seats for a party that controls the White House because in midterm elections, U.S. house seat losses are usually catastrophic, Trump lost 41 in 2018 and Obama lost 63 in 2010, pretty heavy seat losses. Biden suffered (or "suffered") only a hilarious 9 seats, which is pretty low for a seat loss in the lower chamber of Congress, more lower than Carter, Nixon, and even Eisenhower. Eisenhower lost 19, Carter lost 15, and Nixon lost 13. Biden lost 9? Really Republicans? You only managed to take just 9 seats from Biden? That's just pathetic and the history shows it's pathetic! Adding insult to injury for that 9 seat swing, Biden has an approval rating of 42%, which is a crater low. Trump had a 42% approval rating in 2018 and he lost 41 seats in the House.

The Republicans started their 222-213 seat majority in the House of Representatives with a shit show, having to become the first new-coming majority in Congress in 100 years to have failed to secure the Speakership on the first ballot, forcing the Republicans to duke it out for 14 more ballots until the 15th ballot finally resulted in the selection of Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who really just wanted the job. It was a grinding four-day standoff to elect a Speaker, it was so humiliating that the first 11 ballots showed the Republican schism caused McCarthy to literally trail the Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries, then the desperate Kevin McCarthy gave the whole barn away just to get the votes, but then convincing the holdouts to vote present just to help McCarthy. There were pictures of Republican-on-Republican near violence and Republicans ripping on each other just to select a Speaker and the children of members of Congress were forced to wait until their parents get their shit together, of course when a Congress begins, they bring their children to select with them, a tradition. 

Overall, a Republican pyrrhic victory in the House of Representatives and getting creamed in the U.S. Senate and state governments across the country and no wave to show for anything that Republicans should be optimistic about for 2024, it is a Democratic victory in the midterm elections outright. 

But how did this happened? How did Republicans screwed themselves over in a midterm election that was their's to win as history prophesized and foretold? You can thank that on Republican cockiness caused by this historical prophecy as well as a political environment that appeared to have only made it even easier for Republicans to win: inflation, crime waves, and consequently, an unpopular Democratic president who is perceived as too old and too incompetent to do his job effectively, giving Republicans the blind mentality that they're just too untouchable to lose, even as the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, a widely unpopular decision that rolled back a woman's right to an abortion, or Republicans running extremist candidates. 

Then, morning, November 9th, it turns out that Republicans were horribly wrong, like, too wrong. The Republicans did not cruised to a smooth landslide victory on election night, it turns out that the midterm elections were so close that the race for Congress will not be called for days, or even a week. What is clear is that the Democratic Party ran the table on the Republicans, giving the torpedoes to extremist Republican candidates that Republicans were stupid enough to run in swing and competitive elections, getting creamed in Democratic states that they believed they could be competitive in or even maybe win, though they did shot down a Democratic governor in Nevada and were fairly competitive in New York, but these results were fewer and they were outshined by Democrats easily defending their turf and did what they needed to do to either hold on or have a fighting chance at retaining control of Congress. None of which Republicans expected to see. 

By the end of all this, Democrats bolstered their control of the U.S. Senate by one seat and Republicans were forced to scratch and claw their way to House control by their finger nails in a grinding fight against a stronger-than-expected Democratic Party. Republicans should've won Congress by a 2014 margin when Republicans gained comfortable control of Congress in the midterms of that year against then Democratic President Barack Obama. 

Stunned, confused, lost, and lastly, embarrassed and humiliated, by a historically pathetic showing for a party that doesn't control the White House, the Republicans sought a scapegoat, and they easily found one in Donald J. Trump, the former President of the United States who recently served from 2017 to 2021 until losing reelection to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Trump was heavily involved in Republican primaries to hand select crazies, bozos, and inexperienced and malpractice idiots and liars who some of whom were extremists for swing voters, and they all went down in flames and they had god-alwful downballot consequences in congressional and state legislative elections, throwing them all to the Democratic Party. These candidates joined Trump at saying his loss to Biden was illegitimate, the 2020 election was stolen, but voters got sick of hearing that over and over again and they showed their fatigue of Republican crying about losing to Biden at the polling station, THEY WANT TO MOVE ON FROM 2020! Fortunately, Republicans actually got the message, since the midterms, there was no longer any talk about the 2020 election and Trump's candidates have actually conceded their defeats, well except, one Republican is still talking about the 2020 election, Donald Trump, and one of his candidates is now saying her loss in a 2022 governor election was stolen, her name is Kari Lake, but they're now a lonely couple against the world. 

Trump announced his candidacy for 2024 but there is low morale for it and his candidacy has had a bad start, first the low morale because of his midterm failures and things got worse for Trump as he dined with Kanye West and a white nationalist and antisemitic Holocaust denier Nick Fuentes, with Kanye publicly saying that he likes Hitler and the Nazis. Then on the Republican side, a weak and drama-plagued majority in the House of Representatives that has very limited ability to pass legislation, their majority is standing at gun-point from both a Democrat White House and a Democrat Senate, leaving them outnumbered two-to-one, and the only way they can fight back is launching petty investigations into the Biden White House and the Biden family and hold the U.S. economy hostage by refusing to raise the debt ceiling to squeeze social spending cuts from the Democrats, all of which could end disastrously for the Republican-led House and that Republican House losing reelection quick in the 2024 elections that even if Republicans win the White House in 2024, that Republican president will be forced to slam the breaks on his own campaign promises in favor of compromise and negotiation with a Democratic-controlled House of Representatives, getting only little done. 

The Republicans had a winnable midterm election in 2022, it was prophesized by history as a winnable midterm the day Biden won the presidency in 2020, and the prophecy got only stronger and believable when Afghanistan fell to the Taliban, inflation becoming an annoyance for a lot of wallets, crime becoming a constant source of unease in the neighborhoods, a sense that America is falling apart at the scenes with an old Democratic President just sitting on the porch of the White House waiting to feed the birds while everything burns in flames around him. But the Republicans were too incompetent to translate that into a marching wave, even though they attacked Biden as incompetent, talk about being the pot calling the kettle black, but that's just how politics work. 

See these links

Comments